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Summary

The study explores the variability in the velocity of slow-moving landslides and its implications for risk assessment and infrastructure management. It introduces a conceptual approach that uses historical observations, engineering judgment, and Markov models to predict probability distributions of landslide velocity. The study identifies five landslide behavior types and proposes velocity transition matrices for them, with corresponding long-term average annual landslide displacements. The model outputs are discussed, and potential applications are considered.